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The sales of industrial robots have increased significantly, and the development of speed reducing machines is expected to enter the fast lane


  After experiencing long-term market tempering and development, it has gradually evolved into a dominant force covering the Chinese market, and the gearbox has shown a vitality that shakes the world. As the core functional component of industrial robots, reducers account for 33% to 38% of the entire robot manufacturing cost. At present, the field of industrial robots is in the ascendant, with sales continuously increasing, and the potential demand for reducers is increasing year by year.

  In recent years, with the rapid development of the domestic economy and the increase in export volume of the heavy machinery industry, the reducer industry, as an important basic industry, has developed exceptionally rapidly. Due to the awesome of the downstream market, gear reducer enterprises are expanding their production and marketing scale, and their processing capacity and technical level continue to improve. The future prospects of the reducer market industry will be great. According to the growth in sales and ownership of industrial robots, it is expected that by 2025, the demand for industrial robot reducers will reach 1.05 million units, with a demand scale of around 7.7 billion yuan.

  As the key component of industrial robots with the highest technological barrier, reducers can be divided into five categories according to their structure: harmonic gear reducers, cycloidal pinwheel reducers, RV reducers, precision reducers, and filter gear reducers. Among them, RV reducers and harmonic reducers are the most mainstream precision reducers for industrial robots, and RV reducers are gradually replacing harmonic reducers in advanced robot transmission.

  Looking globally, the robot gearbox market is monopolized by Japanese companies, with limited strength in other countries. According to statistics, Sumitomo, Nabotsk, and Hamonaco, three Japanese companies, hold over 80% of the global market share and are in an absolute monopoly position.

  At present, 75% of the world's precision reducer market is occupied by Japan's Hammernaco and Nabotsk, with Nabotsk producing RV reducers accounting for about 60% of the market share, and Hammernaco producing harmonic reducers accounting for about 15% of the market share. Japan's gearbox technology has always been far ahead and has maintained a dominant position in the industry for many years. Even the famous international "industrial robot families" such as ABB, Fanuc, Yaskawa, and Kuka have been using the gearboxes of Japan's Nabtesco and Harmonic Drive companies.

  On the other hand, in China, although the production enterprises of robot reducers have increased investment in recent years, there is still a distance from mass production. In the future, it may be necessary to rely on domestic robot companies to drive and break the market monopoly of Japanese companies. The robot industry is currently the most eye-catching industry, and there is no need to say much about its development space. Precision reducers are the most critical functional components in industrial robots and a crucial application link in the robot industry chain.

  According to predictions from authoritative national departments, from 2015 to 2018, the new demand for reducers for industrial robots in China will reach 236000 sets, 296000 sets, 369000 sets, and 462000 sets, respectively. In addition, based on the general service life of 8-10 years for industrial robots retained in the domestic market, the market demand for precision reducers in China will exceed 1 million units in the future, and the annual market sales will exceed 10 billion yuan.

  The author believes that overall, the prospects of the robot reducer industry are promising, and the potential demand scale is huge. to this end

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